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Thumper's Picks - Week 3

#1
Come on guys. I haven't had a single comment about my picks column this week. Do you think I'm right on the money? Do you think I'm way off base? Let me know...

Here's the link: http://bolttalk.com/?p=2958

Here's a sample:

Open date: Dallas, Kansas City, Oakland, San Diego

Sunday, Sept 24

Washington 22, Houston 17
Which ever team loses this one will have a huge hole to climb out of if they want to have any kind of meaningful season. Houston is dead last in total defense. Washington is expecting Clinton Portis back. This will provide a huge boost for the Redskins.

St. Louis 19, Arizona 20
I picked Arizona to upset the Seahawks last week and they burned me. I still believe in this team, but it really depends on which Rams team shows up. The one that beat the Broncos or the one that lost to the 49ers

Carolina 17, Tampa Bay 9

I expected both of these teams to have strong seasons, now in only the third week of the season, they’re both in a must win situation. At this point of his career, Chris Simms is no Phil Simms. He gets rattled easily and makes bad decisions. Expect a big game from Julius Peppers getting pressure to the quarterback.

Chicago 24, Minnesota 17

The Bears have a dominating defense and are playing well on the offensive side of the ball as well. Both teams are 2-0. The Vikings proved they can play in two tough games against Washington and Carolina, but the Bears are an elite team. The Vikings are not. Who would have thought Rex Grossman would be leading the league in QB passer rating?


Check the rest of this weeks picks here!
 
#3
Concudan said:
Houston will beat Warshington.

Minn will beat Da bears.

You heard it here first.
I have a little feeling about Houston this week, too... They do have to win a game or two this year and it might as well be against another struggling team.

Bears/Minn will get my number 1 pick more than likely... I'll bet you have no idea which team I pick... :icon_wink: :icon_wink: :icon_wink: :icon_wink: :icon_wink:
 

MtlBoltsFan

Jesse Ventura/Howard Stern 2016
#7
Wow guys I didn't even read past thumpers picks before I was going to comment on Houston beating Washington. I didn't really hear it from you first Conc :icon_evil:
 

Concudan

Still Chargin
Staff member
Administrator
#8
MtlBoltsFan said:
Wow guys I didn't even read past thumpers picks before I was going to comment on Houston beating Washington. I didn't really hear it from you first Conc :icon_evil:
Yes you did, but you will try and steal whatever you can...:tdown:
 

Thread_Killer

Well-Known Member
#10
Those are solid picks, Thumper.

I like Green Bay over Detroit though. That’s a lock. I also like these:

Atlanta by double-digits over New Orleans:
The Saints QB always struggles against good defenses.

Indy wins BIG over the Jags: This will be a slaughter, like 28-7. You read it here first.
 

MtlBoltsFan

Jesse Ventura/Howard Stern 2016
#12
Thread_Killer said:
Those are solid picks, Thumper.

I like Green Bay over Detroit though. That’s a lock. I also like these:

Atlanta by double-digits over New Orleans:
The Saints QB always struggles against good defenses.

Indy wins BIG over the Jags: This will be a slaughter, like 28-7. You read it here first.
Indy hasn't faced a real defense. They have a lame running game and this will be proven when they go up against Jax. If anything JAX wins by double digits :yes: Peyton Manning is going to get Peytowned!
 

Thread_Killer

Well-Known Member
#14
MtlBoltsFan said:
Indy hasn't faced a real defense. They have a lame running game and this will be proven when they go up against Jax. If anything JAX wins by double digits :yes: Peyton Manning is going to get Peytowned!
Stay away from that game. I don't want you to lose money on it. :no:
 
#15
Good job on the picks. Now I'll throw my two cents in. If Jax watches tape from our game with the Dolts last year, the point spread will be even greater. Peyton can't take constant pressure which I think Jax can deliver. I'll call Detroit over GB as I think Detroit has a bit more offense and defense and I thnk New Orleans may beat Atlanta. I'm not convinced Vick is as consistent as people think. His running will ultimately cost them. Did I read where they will play in the Superdome? If they are, Atlanta is in trouble as NO will play on some jacked-up emotions. That's it, I'll await the laughter. Have fun and may the best handicappers win!:bolt:
 

boltssbbound

Well-Known Member
#16
MtlBoltsFan said:
Indy hasn't faced a real defense. They have a lame running game and this will be proven when they go up against Jax. If anything JAX wins by double digits :yes: Peyton Manning is going to get Peytowned!
The problem is Jax doesn't have the kind of fierce pass rush that will bother Manning. I think Manning will be able to sit back and pick that secondary apart. It wouldn't surprise if the Colts had 30 yards rushing and 300 yards passing.

I still am not a big Leftwich fan. His delivery is just so focking slow. Freeney and that fierce Indy rush are going to harass Leftwich all game.
 

Thread_Killer

Well-Known Member
#17
boltssbbound said:
The problem is Jax doesn't have the kind of fierce pass rush that will bother Manning. I think Manning will be able to sit back and pick that secondary apart. It wouldn't surprise if the Colts had 30 yards rushing and 300 yards passing.

I still am not a big Leftwich fan. His delivery is just so focking slow. Freeney and that fierce Indy rush are going to harass Leftwich all game.
Exactly. I hope MTL listens to us.

:lol:
 

Shamrock

Well-Known Member
#18
Concudan said:
Houston will beat Warshington.

Minn will beat Da bears.

You heard it here first.
I think the Texans take that game too.

The 'Skins look dysfunctional, and IMO the NFC East has been totally overrated this offseason.
 

Boltjolt

Well-Known Member
#20
boltssbbound said:
The problem is Jax doesn't have the kind of fierce pass rush that will bother Manning. I think Manning will be able to sit back and pick that secondary apart. It wouldn't surprise if the Colts had 30 yards rushing and 300 yards passing.

I still am not a big Leftwich fan. His delivery is just so focking slow. Freeney and that fierce Indy rush are going to harass Leftwich all game.
Indy hasnt had that great a pass rush so far ...not any better than Jacksonville has but and Indy has been run on pretty good giving up 147 YPG so far. Both defenses have 4 sacks and Jacksonville was getting near Rothlisberger a lot.

I dont like Leftwich's windup either but he is having a good year so far. He is due to break out.
 
#21
Concudan said:
ABSOFRICKENLOOTYL!
I'm going on your recommendations with the texans/deadskins game. I was 50/50 on who to take for this game. Possibly home field advantage will give the texans a win. hope so.

edit, on further thought I'm gonna take the deadskins.

edit. on even further thought i'm gonna take the texans.
 

Boltjolt

Well-Known Member
#22
Carolina 17, Tampa Bay 9
I expected both of these teams to have strong seasons, now in only the third week of the season, they’re both in a must win situation. At this point of his career, Chris Simms is no Phil Simms. He gets rattled easily and makes bad decisions. Expect a big game from Julius Peppers getting pressure on the quarterback.

Chicago 24, Minnesota 17
The Bears have a dominating defense and are playing well on the offensive side of the ball as well. Both teams are 2-0. The Vikings proved they can play in two tough games against Washington and Carolina, but the Bears are an elite team. The Vikings are not. Who would have thought Rex Grossman would be leading the league in QB passer rating?

Cincinnati 19, Pittsburgh 21
The Bengals can run and pass, but injuries on defense will take their toll. Willie Parker and Big Ben will get back on track and pull this one out in a squeaker.

Green Bay 10, Detroit 24
Favre will regret not retiring after starting the season 0-3 on this bad Green Bay team. Detroit will regroup and get their first win of the season with a dominating performance.

Jacksonville 16, Indianapolis 21
Indy still needs to find an answer to their running game and Jacksonville played inspired defense against the Steelers. But, sometimes a team just has another team’s number. Indy owns the Jags. They swept them last season and will win this battle.

N.Y. Jets 10, Buffalo 17
The Bills defense looks legit and should be enough to hold off a rejuvenated Chad Pennington. This is the Bills game to win or lose.

Tennessee 14, Miami 31
Miami should get back on track against a Titans team that is complete disarray. Culpepper should get it together against a weak Titans defense. Expect him to throw for at least two scores.

Washington 22, Houston 17
Which every team loses this one will have a huge hole to climb out of if they want to have any kind of meaningful season. Houston is dead last in total defense. Washington is expecting Clinton Portis back. This will provide a huge boost for the Redskins.

Baltimore 17, Cleveland 9
The Ravens look wicked good on defense and their offense is good enough to get the job done. Will the Browns be limited to just field goals? I think they might.

N.Y. Giants 21, Seattle 28
For me this is probably the hardest game of the week to call. These are both quality teams, but I don’t think the Giants have faced a team with this much offensive firepower. Shaun Alexander is ready for a huge game.

Philadelphia 26, San Francisco 15
San Francisco is playing much better than expected. They may have a respectable season, but the Eagles with a healthy Donovan McNabb will be too much for the 49ers to handle.

St. Louis 19, Arizona 20
I picked Arizona to upset the Seahawks last week and they burned me. I still believe in this team, but it really depends on which Rams team shows up. The one that beat the Broncos or the one that lost to the 49ers.

Denver 17, New England 24
How does New England keep it up? They just seem to find ways to win. Across the field, Jake the Snake is finding ways to lose. Expect another erratic day from Plummer facing a tough New England defense.

Monday, Sept 25

Atlanta 24, New Orleans 23[/quote]


Well.....

Not much to disagree with but ill comment on a couple.

I dont think Indy has Jacksonvilles number. The did sweep them last year but Jacksonville beat them in Indy in 2004 and have played some close games while Indy was whipping everybody else.
I think Jacksonville is a better team than last year and Leftwich is due for a good season. I dont care who wins as long as Jacksonville covers the spread since i have them +7 :icon_mrgreen:

I think Culpepper stinks and doesnt look to me like his knee is 100%. Miami should win only because Tennesee is just horrible.

I dont think St Louis will lose to Arizona. The Rams always play lousy in SF and i said so in the liesure Las Vegas thread. However, they ARE learning a new offensive system and havent jelled yet as a unit.
Arizona just cant run the ball.

I think Atlanta will smoke New Orleans.
 
#24
underoath said:
thumper, what is your overall record for the first 2 weeks? (im 25-5 in my office pool). i just want to see where u are at. i know u are an elite picker :icon_mrgreen:
Are you sure you are not 25-7? Which two games didn't you pick?

I managed 13-3 last week picking a few upsets like SF. 25-7 YTD. So I will probably get pounded this week. I find the games tough to pick this week. Lots of games could go either way.

Car 20 TB 13
Chi 14 Min 20
Cin 17 Pit 24 Steelers bounce back
GB 10 Det 30
Jac 24 Ind 34 Jacksonville defense still thinking about monday night
NYJ 20 Buf 10 Pennington keeps rolling
Ten 17 Mia 24 Young gets good playing and plays well
Was 20 Hou 23 Carr steps up
Bal 20 Clv 17 Tighter game than expected
NYG 20 Sea 23 No comeback this week
Phi 27 SF 14
STL 10 Ari 17 Warner takes care of business
Den 27 NE 21 Upset of the week. Plummer wakes up
Atl 26 NO 17 A pressure game for Brees. We know he does in those.
 

Shamrock

Well-Known Member
#25
underoath said:
thumper, what is your overall record for the first 2 weeks? (im 25-5 in my office pool). i just want to see where u are at. i know u are an elite picker :icon_mrgreen:
Playing Marco Polo in the shallow end of the kiddie pool at day care doesn't count.
 

Concudan

Still Chargin
Staff member
Administrator
#26
MtlBoltsFan said:
Don't be ghey or I'll change my mind and take Washington to prove a point :icon_tease:
Go ahead and take them, if you want a loss! You know I am right on this one, you just cant go without trying to say it is your idea all along!:icon_rofl:
 
#27
Shamrock said:
Playing Marco Polo in the shallow end of the kiddie pool at day care doesn't count.
haha, yea i meant 7 losses (4 the first week, 3 the second).

there was a 6 way tie leading up into monday night. 4 had PIT, 2 had JAC. i won on the combined score tiebreaker :icon_mrgreen:

i love office pools!

this is what I think this week:

Panthers (they'll abuse Sims)
Bears (best team in the NFC)
Bengals (will score too many points... rudi johnson is extremly under-rated)
Packers (they are a better team than the Lions)
Jaguars (they can beat the colts...jags are #2 in my power rankings)
Bills (Donte Whitner is legit, as is that defense)
Miami (Saban will get these guys headed in the right direction)
Redskins (Portis is back, really think HOU can stop him?)
Ravens (an elite team playing an 8-8 team)
Seahawks (they will win at home and will get to Eli a few times)
Eagles (McNabb to stallworth...all day long)
Cardinals (will score lots of points in their new stadium)
Patriots (too many playmakers for the broncos to defend)
Falcons (forgot to add this one - Vick will continue his success running the ball)
 
#30
underoath said:
thumper, what is your overall record for the first 2 weeks? (im 25-5 in my office pool). i just want to see where u are at. i know u are an elite picker :icon_mrgreen:
I keep my record in my signature. You're doing much better than I am.
 

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