Don't like it, lump it!!!
- Jul 11, 2006
I'm just going by history and knowing that what happens in the future never extrapolates to a Dead Bolts victory. If you cut off a finger for every game the Bolts should have won, you'd only have thumbs!I think the game against NE will be a close game either way. I think the Chargers are the better team, but the Patriots are tough at home and potentially bad weather probably helps the Patriots. But in order to win it all, the Chargers need to conquer obstacles like this.
I get that Las Vegas establishments have to predict bettor behavior and that casual fans are all over the Patriots and that the Chargers do not have a large fan base, but I have been shocked first by the Ravens being favored over the Chargers after everything went about as poorly for the Chargers as it could have gone in the first game and they almost won anyway, and second, by the Patriots being favored at all, much less by 4.5 points after what the Chargers did to a tough Ravens team in Baltimore.
I saw where ESPN's FPI model gives the Patriots a 65% chance to win and an analysis such as that is equally baffling to me.
So, to me, there seems like an unjustified amount of belief in the Patriots.